28 November 2024

2024 a year of predictable unpredictability


GILES RAFFERTY, Media and Financial PR


Whether it is ongoing climate change, Donald Trump having another tilt at the US presidency or the emergence of AI, these are all events that have been predicted. How they played out and what impacts they will have are very much subject to unpredictability.

The recently published CSIRO/Bureau of Meteorology State of the climate report  highlights how feedback loops between the atmosphere and the oceans are creating greater unpredictability around weather patterns. Few predicted the magnitude of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential race. And from an Investor Relations perspective, AI allows high speed data analysis to support investor targeting but may create unpredictability around the information investors extract from their own, discrete AI powered analysis ahead of investment decisions.

INVESTOR TARGETING

A predictable constant across 2024 was FIRST Advisers monthly newsletters and amongst our most read blogs was Using data to drive investor targeting. FIRST Advisers has the ability to interrogate a Register of Relevant Interests, uncover insights into investor holdings and combine this intelligence with detailed analysis of peer company registers to create an effective, quantitative tool for investor targeting.

CYBERSECURITY AND ACTIVISM

Our blogs on Cybersecurity were also well read. In February we looked at emerging Cybersecurity trends in our Managing cybersecurity risks article. We then revisited this theme in June following the Ticketmaster Data breach, with our What to do if you suffer a cybersecurity breach blog.

Activism was another theme that caught the attention of the FIRST Advisers audience. Our The shape of activism in Australia in August focused on the unique characteristics of Australian activism, while our Has Australian ESG activism peaked? blog explored the post COVID decline in ESG activism in Australia.

AGMS AND PROXY ADVISORS

Our coverage of the hot topics for proxy advisors also featured amongst our more popular blogs. As a prelude to the June/July window for engaging with Proxy Advisors we looked at the “Dos and don’ts” of meeting with Proxy Advisors in our Engaging with Proxy Advisors? blog. We then followed that blog up in September with a review of hot topic issues in our  A climate of change, voting at AGMs blog. All the Proxy Advisory firms were interested to see how companies would respond to the record 41 strikes against ASX 300 rem. reports during the 2023 AGM season.

PERCEPTION STUDIES AND COMPLIANCE

ASX compliance – Avoiding the tendentious and intemperate was a popular standalone blog in July that explored how to avoid reprimands for market releases and presentations that did not meet ASX standards. There was a particular focus on Mining Company disclosures.

Another well read, standalone blog was an explainer on the power of investor perception research, Perception studies supercharge investor relations,  which highlighted the importance of assessing if a company’s investment case is being understood and valued by investors.

While it is not always possible, or even desirable, to predict the future, at FIRST Advisers we are committed to continuing to highlight issues of interest to investor relations in our monthly newsletters through the course of 2025. We stand ready to offer our expert advice and leading analytics capabilities to support investor relations functions and help drive meaningful engagements with shareholders.


29 August 2024

The shape of activism in Australia


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director Activism in Australia is highly concentrated by sector, market cap and demand type. It is focused on the basic materials sector, in nano cap stocks and with two-thirds of demands on changes to the board. This is highly unusual in a global context where activity is more evenly spread across sectors […]

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30 July 2024

Australian Activism – have we seen peak ESG activism?


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director We have been tracking the evolution of activism in Australia for the past 10 years and it would be fair to say that in recent years there has been a high expectation that we would see an acceleration in ESG campaigns as Sustainability Reporting became increasingly mainstream. This has not proved […]

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26 April 2023

Trends in Activism*


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director Until recently Australia was consistently ranked second behind the US in terms of the number of activist campaigns launched each year. Up until 2018 the number of companies subject to activist demands would average around 65, a number that rocketed to just over 80 in 2018 and 2019. Over the past […]

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30 May 2022

Shareholder Activism is Stirring in Australia and Accelerating in Asia


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director Over the past two years, as COVID has rampaged around the world, an unexpected bonus for company boards has been the virtual exit, stage right, of activist shareholders. I’m not talking about the type of activism associated with ESG issues that we are increasingly seeing around the time of AGMs, but […]

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30 November 2021

The Decline in Traditional Shareholder Activism


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director. Annual General Meeting season has just concluded and while the stats are still being collated for the final quarter, we already know that the role of climate and environmental activists in pursuing their agenda has continued to increase this year.  Data collected by Insightia from Q1 to Q3 over the past […]

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30 November 2021

Activists in Action


As 2021 winds down, we look at the meetings that we have been tracking over the past 11 months. November is always busy with listed company Annual General Meetings, however, the Extraordinary Meetings that were called this month didn’t come from shareholders, but instead from companies themselves looking to issue additional shares and make changes to […]

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30 April 2021

The Convergence of ESG and Activist forces


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director Activism during COVID A review of the impact of COVID 19 on activism globally in 2020 would suggest that it largely reinforced the trend of slowing activity that has been evident since its peak in 2018. In Australia the number of companies publically subjected to activists’ demands returned to the annual […]

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31 August 2020

Activism in 2020


VICTORIA GEDDES, Executive Director. At FIRST Advisers we pay close attention to the activist space in Australia, having worked on many campaigns for both activists and companies over the past ten years. In our monthly newsletter we have a regular slot that summarises for our readers the various activist campaigns over that month and we […]

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30 October 2019

Australian Activism: Down but far from out


VICTORIA GEDDES, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR As we approach the end of the year with, realistically, less than two months left to launch and complete a new campaign, the stats already tell us most of what we need to know about the changing shape of activism in Australia in 2019. Activity is 20% down on last year’s […]

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31 July 2019

Activism in 2019


DANIEL JONES, SHAREHOLDER ANALYTICS AND IR As we approach the traditionally busiest quarter for shareholder activism in Australia, it is time to take stock of how activists have fared to date in 2019. Has Activism in Australia peaked or just taking a breather? According to Activist Insight, in 2019 there have been 42 public activist […]

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4 March 2019

Activism in February 2019


Activists fail in Pacific Dairies board spill  Activist investor Mustafa Hasan’s attempt to replace the board at Pacific Dairies has been voted down. Hasan and fellow shareholders Dursan Cansiz, William Clarke and Necmi Uysal requested the board spill in January. They proposed replacing Directors Paul Duckett, Ray Taylor, and Chris Egan with Rhett Morson, Ping […]

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31 January 2019

Activism in January 2019


Dissatisfied shareholder looking to change up the board of Havilah Recourses  A meeting for Havilah Resources has been requisitioned by eight shareholders, collectively owning 8.1% of Havilah’s shares.  The shareholders are looking to replace two members of the board.  The investors seek to remove directors Mark Steward and Kenneth Williams, and have advanced Peter Johnson and […]

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29 November 2018

ACTIVISM IN NOVEMBER 2018


Centuria doesn’t get the votes to spill Propertylink’s board Centuria Capital has failed in its attempt to replace Propertylink’s board with approximately 99% of shareholders voting against the resolutions. In September Centuria requisitioned a meeting to remove Propertylink’s board and to replace it with its six-person slate.  At the time, Centuria Capital was looking to […]

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29 November 2018

AIRA 2018: The FIRST Advisers panel discussion on What Drives Activism in Australia


Valuable Advice for Companies from Successful Activists FIRST Advisers hosted the ‘What Drives Activism?’ panel discussion at the AIRA 2018 Annual Conference held in Sydney on the 23rd of November. While the video of the Conference, including this panel session, can be accessed here, there were a number of interesting takeouts from the discussion that […]

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29 November 2018

Interesting times: 2018 in review


Giles Rafferty, Media and Corporate Communications “May you live in interesting times”, is often presented as a Chinese curse and, as we enter the final month of 2018, it has certainly been an interesting year thus far. In Australia, the Banking Royal Commission has been the dominant story in the financial media during the latter […]

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1 November 2018

Has Activism Peaked or is it regrouping


Victoria Geddes, Executive Director Activism in Australia has some characteristics that are different to other countries around the world. We examine the make-up of activist campaigns in Australia compared to the global average and unpick some of the recent trends to see if there is a pattern emerging. This article is an extract from a paper […]

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1 November 2018

Activism in October 2018


AMP Shareholders get Active Merlon Capital Partners, a shareholder in AMP, sent a letter to its board on 29 October opposing the terms of a proposed sale of its Australian and New Zealand wealth protection and mature businesses. In it they detail a number of undertakings they are seeking from the board and, if not […]

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28 September 2018

Activism in September


ESR and Centuria Capital battle for Propertylink ESR Real Estate has placed a $693 million cash takeover offer on the table for Propertylink.  This comes only a day after Centuria Capital requisitioned a meeting to replace all but one member of Propertylink’s board. Centuria Capital is seeking to prevent Propertylink from going through with a […]

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3 September 2018

Deal Flow – Retail Investors Have a Point of View


Victoria Geddes, Executive Director Post results reporting season is a time when investment banks start engaging their clients, in advance of the year’s end, to get mergers, spin-offs and takeovers off and running. Witness the recent TPG and Vodafone merger as well as the Coles spin-off from Wesfarmers. The merits of engaging in Proxy Solicitation […]

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31 August 2018

Activism in August


Aurora withdraws bid for takeover of Molopo After almost four years of trying to take control of Molopo, Aurora Funds Management has withdrawn its takeover bid.  Keybridge and Aurora have both separately been attempting to take over the company, however, the latest bid, which expired on the 10th of August, was withdrawn citing a ‘dramatic […]

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30 July 2018

Activism in July


MEC Resources unveils board changes Australia-based MEC Resources has unveiled a series of board changes, two weeks after surviving a proxy fight waged by a group of shareholders. Chairman Goh Hock was replaced by Michael Sandy, a former executive at Oil Search and Novus Petroleum with a background in geology. Hock will retain an advisory […]

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29 June 2018

A view from the other side of the fence


Daniel Jones, Shareholder Analytics and IR Activism was once again a hotly discussed topic at the 2018 National Investor Relations Institute (NIRI) conference in Las Vegas, and with the number of large-cap activist campaigns in 2017 reaching an all-time high, it’s easy to see why. Based on my observations and discussion with professionals, an often […]

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29 June 2018

Activism in June


Empire activists seek a strategic review and new board A group of dissident shareholders in Empire Resources has outlined its plan for the company, saying it needed a new “energetic” executive managing director to complete a strategic review of the precious and base metals explorer. The dissidents, consisting of 12 shareholders, are seeking to replace […]

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30 May 2018

Activism in May


Myer v Premier Investments Solomon Lew is continuing his campaign against Myer, in which he holds 11% of stock, writing to fellow shareholders, saying that the company is ‘in peril’ and blaming the Board for its deterioration. The letter follows John King’s  appointment as CEO and MD In April. Among other things, Solomon Lew has […]

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30 April 2018

Activism in April


8IP Emerging Companies vs Aurora Funds Management Resolutions put forward by Aurora Funds Management to appoint nominees Anthony Hartnell, John Patton and Victor Siciliano, were defeated at the 8IP Emerging Companies General Meeting, with more than 65% of shareholder supporting the current Board. Aurora, which owns just under 20% of 8EC, had put forward resolutions to […]

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5 April 2018

Activism in March


8IP Emerging Companies vs Aurora Funds Management. On 19 March, Aurora Funds Management sent a notice, requisitioning a general meeting of 8IP Emerging Companies (8EC), seeking reconstruction of the board and the implementation of a Buyback. Aurora owns nearly 20% of the company and is proposing the removal of three directors – Kerry Series, Jonathan […]

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5 April 2018

Short Attacks: Is Glaucus an Aberration or the new Normal?


VICTORIA GEDDES, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Two years ago we wrote an article on a well-established activist strategy in the US called the “short attack”. In Australia we are very familiar with short selling as a legitimate tactic to deliver portfolio performance but short or bear attacks are something else altogether. Equity markets and investors received their […]

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5 March 2018

Activism in February


Successful activism Tap Oil v Risco Energy Risco Energy nominees Chris Newton and Govert Van Eck have been appointed to the Board of Tap Oil while Tap Oil’s executive Chairman, James Menzies, and existing Directors Peter Mansell and Andrea Hall have resigned from their posts. As a result, the Special Meeting was cancelled. Genetic Technologies […]

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29 January 2018

Activism in December/January


Kingsgate Consolidated v Metal Tiger Metal Tiger, which owns 8.5% of Kingsgate Consolidated, requisitioned a General Meeting in November 2017, seeking to remove three directors and replace them with five of their own nominees. All resolutions were voted down by shareholders; however, there was support for Metal Tiger with 45% of investors voting in favour […]

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11 December 2017

Activism in November


Kingsgate Consolidated v Metal Tiger On November 15, 2017 Kingsgate Consolidated’s largest shareholder, London-based Metal Tiger, requisitioned a General Meeting to remove three of the four current Board members and replace them with five of their own nominees, including two independent directors. Metal Tiger plans to review litigation with the Thai Government and insurance companies […]

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7 December 2017

FIRST Advisers ranked the Number 1 Australian Proxy Solicitation firm


The FIRST Advisers’ Proxy Solicitation practice has taken a prime position in the 2017 Intermediary Awards, as the top ranked Australian Proxy firm and the 6th ranked globally. FIRST Advisers is the only Australian specialist in Activist campaigns to feature in the top 10 rankings, which are dominated by US and European firms, many of […]

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7 November 2017

Activism in October


NextDC v 360 Capital Group v Asia Pacific Data Centre (APDC) NextDC’s failed bid for APDC led to it making a takeovers panel application in an attempt to delay the merger between APDC and 360 Capital. NextDC now owns 29.1% of APDC stock after its A$1.87 bid lapsed. 360 Capital’s Offer was deemed superior to NextDC’s […]

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4 October 2017

Activism in September


MPO v Keybridge & Aurora Funds Management Following the failed proxy battle earlier this year which saw Keybridge Capital and Aurora Funds Management attempting to seize control of the Molopo Board, Keybridge is again pushing a new director to be appointed. Keybridge has accused Molopo of “extraordinary actions and inactions” and subsequent damage to shareholders. […]

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7 September 2017

Activism in August


During August a number of long running campaigns came to an end and a few new additions emerged. We also saw Greencape Capital ‘out itself’ as an activist investor. Ardent Leisure and Ariadne reached a resolution in one of the most publicly contested and hard fought activist campaigns this year. Ardent v Ariadne Ardent released […]

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1 August 2017

Activism in July


The Activist scene remains elevated with most of the focus continuing to be on campaigns that launched last month (Ardent Leisure, Asia Pacific Data Centres, AWE, Reffind), long running campaigns (Molopo Energy, BHP, Surfstitch) and campaigns that finally reached a resolution (Central Petroleum, Brickworks/Soul Patts). We also look at Spicers where offshore activist, Coastal Capital, […]

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4 July 2017

Activists in Action – June 2017


In the last month of the financial year there were 5 new actions and further developments on several campaigns which have been in play now for several months. SurfStitch Group received a section 249D notice on 6 June for the requisition of a shareholders’ meeting from Crown Financial Pty Limited (Crown Financial), a shareholder which […]

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9 June 2017

Activists in Action – May 2017


FIRST Advisers has been fairly vocal for the past two years about the rise of activism in Australia and in particular the risk of offshore activists moving into this market given its ‘activist friendly’ regulatory environment. Because we frequently act for one of the parties in an activist campaign, we are closer than most to […]

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9 May 2017

Perception Studies – An Early Indicator of Emerging Issues


VICTORIA GEDDES, ECECUTIVE DIRECTOR Getting feedback from investors and other key stakeholders is a given within the investor relations profession. Many companies will do this informally following a roadshow and some will undertake a more formal engagement process, including the Chairman, ahead of the AGM. So a view often expressed by companies is that their […]

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3 November 2016

The Activist – Pariah or Positive Catalyst for Change?


VICTORIA GEDDES, ECECUTIVE DIRECTOR The role played by the activist in the US capital markets has moved over the past 10-15 years from pariah to one of being a positive catalyst for change. Today proxy contests associated with nominations of independent directors for board seats are more likely to be won by activists than the […]

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5 July 2016

Short Attacks: The new wolf pack


VICTORIA GEDDES, ECECUTIVE DIRECTOR Those who have been on the receiving end of a short attack describe the process as akin to being at war, or being pursued by a pack of wolves, with the company’s very destruction their opponent’s goal. A short or bear attack, to make the distinction clear, is not the same […]

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2 June 2016

Activist Investing Comes of Age


VICTORIA GEDDES, ECECUTIVE DIRECTOR In the past 5 years, post-GFC in particular, the activist investor has become firmly established as a recognised investor category within the funds management universe. Companies are starting to build into their investor relations strategy protocols that quickly elevate early signs of shareholder discontent up to the board. Politely acknowledging, but […]

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1 June 2016

FIRST Advisers in Listed@ASX Magazine


FIRST Advisers is featured this month in the Listed@ASX magazine. Our executive director Victoria Geddes writes on the rise of activist investors in Australia, the tactics they use, and what listed companies need to know. Click here to see a PDF of the article.  

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18 February 2015

ASIC Revisits Guidelines on Collective Action by Investors


The Australian Securities and Investments Commission is revisiting its guidelines around collective action by institutional investors and calling for public comment. This has become a hotter topic in the past few years with the increasing assertiveness of activist shareholders and recognition that collective action by investors can be good for financial markets.

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